The CBAM Scenario Planner dataset and dashboard enable organizations to understand, plan for, and compare potential compliance costs under the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). Covering products across sectors, countries of origin, and forward-looking carbon price scenarios, the dataset combines public embedded emissions data from the European Commission with proprietary carbon price forecasts extending to 2060 for more than 140 countries. It supports analysis of CBAM exposure under multiple economic and energy transition pathways, including a base case and a net-zero 2050 scenario.

CBAM Scenario Planner is currently only available via S&P Global Energy Core Platform. Users can leverage the CBAM Scenario Planner to estimate future CBAM compliance costs by product, sector, and country of origin, and compare cost impacts across markets. The dataset enables analysis of how origin-country carbon pricing may reduce CBAM exposure, stress-test cost forecasts across alternative technological and geopolitical scenarios, and incorporate custom emissions intensities to support bespoke analysis, strategic planning, and risk management.

This dataset includes:

• Country-average and benchmark emissions intensity data by sector, HS/CN code, and product description
• Annual, country-level carbon price forecasts to 2060 across five distinct scenarios sourced from S&P Global Energy models
• Scenario-based modeling of CBAM costs by product and country of origin
• Flexibility to incorporate custom emissions assumptions for tailored analysis